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Fantasy Preview: Week 11

Posted Nov 15, 2013

It's Week 11, which is usually a pretty big make-or-break week in fantasy circles. We're up against the fantasy trade deadline, and there are probably several “loser-out” games in in every league this week.

So, let's not waste any time. Here are some key numbers to know about every contest, plus a stud, sleeper, stumbler or injury concern to watch for with a brief explanation why. Note that the “studs” are guys who are either better than most owners realize or established stars who owners might be foolishly thinking about benching.

Jets at Bills

Stat to know: Santonio Holmes is expected to return from his hamstring injury this week, and when these teams met in Week 3, he hauled in five passes for 154 yards and a TD. Consider Holmes a nice sleeper.

Stumblers: RBs C.J. Spiller and Fred Jackson (Jets tied for fewest fantasy points per game allowed to RBs.)

Falcons at Buccaneers

Stat to know: The Buccaneers have allowed at least 21.4 fantasy points to QBs in each of the past four games, which includes 27.7 points to Matt Ryan in Week 7. Even with Tony Gonzalez (toe) banged up, Ryan has plenty of upside.

Stumbler: RB Steven Jackson (Bucs allowing seventh-fewest FPPG to RBs.)

Lions at Steelers

Stat to know: The Lions are allowing 23.4 completions per game (seventh most) and 29.2 FPPG to WRs (third-most). Antonio Brown remains a must-start, and possession receiver Emmanuel Sanders is a legit WR3.

Sleeper: Lions D/ST (Steelers allowing fifth-most FPPG to D/STs.)

Redskins at Eagles

Stat to know: Both of these teams are allowing at least 274 passing yards per game and rank in the top four in FPPG allowed to WRs. All QBs and key WRs are solid starts, and guys like Leonard Hankerson and even Jason Avant can function as WR3s if you're in a bind.

Sleeper: TE Zach Ertz (Redskins tied for sixth-most FPPG allowed to TEs.)

Cardinals at Jaguars

Stat to know: No. 1 WRs had struggled for most of the year against Arizona, but they've scored at least 12 fantasy points in each of the past two games. Start Cecil Shorts as a WR3 despite a tough matchup against Patrick Peterson.

Sleeper: RB Andre Ellington (Jaguars allowing 4.5 yards per carry and 40.7 yards receiving per game to RBs.)

Raiders at Texans

Stat to Know: Terrelle Pryor suffered a knee injury last week, and it's unclear if he'll play. Houston has the top pass defense, allowing just 166.6 yards per game, so WR Denarius Moore is a poor play, especially if Pryor is out.

Sleeper: WR DeAndre Hopkins (Raiders allowing eighth-most FPPG to WRs.)

Ravens at Bears

Stat to know: Baltimore's expected to equally split carries between Ray Rice and Bernard Pierce this week, giving both value against Chicago's 31st-ranked run defense (129.4 yards per game; 4.5 yards per carry).

Sleeper: TE Martellus Bennett (Ravens allowing 9.1 FPPG to TEs, 11th most.)

Browns at Bengals

Stat to know: Giovani Bernard performed well despite a tough matchup last week. He'll have to step up again, as the Browns are allowing just 3.4 yards per carry and 39 receiving yards per game to RBs. He's no more than a flex.

Sleeper: Browns D/ST (Bengals allowing ninth-most FPPG to D/STs.)

Chargers at Dolphins

Stat to know: The Chargers allow just 15.3 FPPG to RBs (23rd). With Miami's offensive line woes, it's a major gamble to start Lamar Miller.

Sleepers: RBs Ryan Mathews and Danny Woodhead (Dolphins allowing second-most FPPG to RBs.)

Packers at Giants

Stat to know: The Giants have allowed double-digit fantasy points to D/STs in all but one game this year, and that includes 30 total points in the past two games. With Clay Mathews back, expect Green Bay to have a solid defensive day.

Stud: WR Jordy Nelson (19 targets the past two games.)

Vikings at Seahawks

Stat to know: Percy Harvin (hip) is expected to make his season debut this week, but he likely won't play many snaps. He has a great matchup against a Minnesota defense allowing the ninth-most FPPG to WRs (25.8), but he's still a risky WR3.

Stumbler: WR Greg Jennings (Seahawks allowing third-fewest FPPG to WRs.)

49ers at Saints

Stat to know: Colin Kaepernick has been held to single-digit fantasy points three times this year, and he's been below 20 fantasy points in all but three games. He's best suited for your bench against a Saints' defense allowing the fourth-fewest FPPG to QBs (13.9).

Injury: TE Vernon Davis, concussion (If Davis is out, San Francisco will likely throw more to Anquan Boldin and Mario Manningham.)

Chiefs at Broncos

Stat to know: Peyton Manning's sore ankle isn't expected to keep him out, but fantasy owners might be worried about him and Denver's receivers against Kansas City's sixth-ranked pass defense (208.3 yards per game). The Broncos skill players have proven themselves to be must-starts, but they'll be tested this week.

Stud: Chiefs D/ST (Broncos have allowed double-digit fantasy points to D/STs in three of past four games.)

Patriots at Panthers

Stat to know: The Patriots are giving up 110.6 rushing yards per game to RBs, but they've only allowed five total TDs to backs. Jonathan Stewart, DeAngelo Williams and Mike Tolbert are all subpar starting options.

Stumbler: TE Greg Olsen (Patriots allowing 6.8 FPPG to TEs, 22nd.)

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